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Commentary
First Things

The Next Pope Needs a Better China Policy

Nina Shea
Nina Shea
Senior Fellow and Director, Center for Religious Freedom
Cardinals attend the funeral of Pope Francis in St. Peter鈥檚 Square on April 26, 2025, in Vatican City. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)
Caption
Cardinals attend the funeral of Pope Francis in St. Peter鈥檚 Square on April 26, 2025, in Vatican City. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)

Reforming the Vatican鈥檚 policy on China should be a priority of the next papacy. The current approach is defined by the Vatican鈥檚 controversial 2018 agreement with China to share power with Beijing in the appointment of Catholic bishops. It severely compromises the Catholic Church in China and erodes papal religious and moral authority.

Vatican Secretary of State Pietro Cardinal Parolin is the architect of the China deal and its chief enthusiast. Beijing has not-so-subtly signaled that he is China鈥檚 top pick for the next pope. At a press conference on April 22鈥攐ne day after Pope Francis鈥檚 death鈥擟hinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman  dangled the prospect of 鈥渋mprovement of China-Vatican relations鈥� through 鈥渃ontinued鈥� partnership, and no one among the leading papal candidates has more experience working with China than Cardinal Parolin. 

The deal endangers faithful clergy in China. A stark reminder of this reality came last month when the Chinese state security authorities indefinitely detained Bishop Peter Shao Zhumin of the Catholic diocese of Wenzhou without due process. This is the sixty-one-year-old underground prelate鈥檚 eighth detention over the last seven years.  

At least ten Catholic bishops in China are presently in indefinite detention or otherwise restricted in their ministries for opposing government control over their church. The Vatican silently accepts and covers up this repression and, after the 2018 deal, has withdrawn its support from the underground church.

In addition to these sidelined bishops, there are those who died in the past seven years and left their seats vacant. The Vatican and China have only replaced about a dozen of them, leaving approximately thirty bishoprics empty. Nevertheless, the Vatican, like Beijing, insists that the deal is working, and renewed it last October for another four years.

China immediately began using the agreement to pressure bishops into joining the Chinese Catholic Patriotic Association, a group directed by the Chinese Communist party鈥檚 United Front Work Department. Members are required to make an anti-Catholic pledge of 鈥渋ndependence鈥� from the pope. No pope has recognized the association as legitimate.

Cardinal Parolin has cooperated in pushing Catholic clergy into the Patriotic Association. In 2019, the Vatican, under its own name and not the pope鈥檚, issued pastoral guidelines that established association membership as the new normal for the Chinese clergy, while permitting conscientious objection to it. At the same time, China took the lead in appointing Chinese bishops.

As a result, clergy who express political loyalty to President Xi Jinping earn favor with the Chinese government, and those who refuse to renounce religious affiliation with the pope are suppressed. The diocese of Shanghai is a prime example of this. Since the seventeenth century, Shanghai has been China鈥檚 largest and most important diocese. It was the diocese of Ignatius Cardinal Kung Pin-Mei, the world鈥檚 first Chinese Catholic bishop, who endured thirty-three years of imprisonment for refusing to renounce the pope. Thanks to the China deal, this venerable diocese is now in the hands of the Patriotic Association, with papal blessing.  

In the last fourteen years, two Vatican-approved bishops of Shanghai have been persecuted. Joseph Xing Wenzhi mysteriously disappeared from public view in 2011 after serving as auxiliary bishop for six years with government approval. He lost party trust after proclaiming that he would 鈥渓oyally serve鈥� the pope at his episcopal ordination and after consistently resisting membership in the Patriotic Association. The following year, Thaddeus Ma Daqin was appointed bishop of Shanghai with approval of both the Vatican and Beijing. At his ordination Mass, he publicly quit the Patriotic Association, invoking the words of St. Ignatius: 鈥淲e have to choose a way that will serve God with greater glory.鈥� He was put under house arrest that day in a seminary where he remains imprisoned without due process. Neither his nor Xing鈥檚 freedom was part of the Vatican鈥檚 deal.

On April 4, 2023, the Patriotic Association鈥檚 council of bishops unilaterally appointed Bishop Joseph Shen Bin, its own head, to lead the diocese of Shanghai. Pope Francis was given no say in the matter, but he nevertheless approved Shen鈥檚 installation three months after the fact. Cardinal Parolin quickly praised Shen as an 鈥渆steemed pastor鈥� and misleadingly stated that papal approval was 鈥渢o rectify the canonical irregularity鈥� for the 鈥済reater good of the diocese.鈥� He also that cooperating with China might 鈥渇avor a just and wise solution鈥� for Bishops Xing and Ma. Those hopes were dashed when, on April 28, Beijing bypassed them for the auxiliary bishop position in Shanghai, brazenly using the papal interregnum to again violate the agreement and 鈥渆lect鈥� a patriotic priest as a new bishop and unilaterally appoint him as Shen鈥檚 auxiliary. 

Bishop Shen exhibits a party fervor that, given his new stature, promises to drastically transform the Chinese Catholic Church. In an August 2023 diocesan , he was adamant that his flock reject papal authority, insisting that they 鈥渁dhere to the principle of independence and autonomy in running the Church.鈥� A few months earlier, had summoned Hong Kong clergy to a meeting that he opened by hailing the CCP鈥檚 recent 鈥渧ictoriously held鈥� Twentieth National Congress, and saying the 鈥渟pirit鈥� of the congress would aid the Patriotic Association鈥檚 aim of 鈥淪inicization鈥� of the Church in China. He also affirmed 鈥淴i Jinping鈥檚 thought on socialism with Chinese characteristics for a new era,鈥� boding a worrying syncretism of Catholic and communist ideology as the CCP attempts to conform religion to party doctrine. Shen shocked the Hong Kong clergy, stating: 鈥淚t is necessary to jointly promote [with the government] the translation and interpretation of the Bible.鈥�

Shanghai is not the exception. Since the agreement, other episcopal posts have been filled with CCP zealots, approved by the Vatican, while the faithful bishops are persecuted. For example, at Beijing鈥檚 insistence in 2018, the Vatican asked Bishop Vincent Guo Xijin of Mindong to step down to make way for an excommunicated bishop who was then rehabilitated and approved by Pope Francis. In January, was last locked up in a parish church compound.

The Vatican has long applied its Ostpolitik policy of not criticizing China. But in 2018, when the Curia began pushing the deal, it started actively whitewashing Beijing. That year, the chancellor of the Pontifical Academy of Sciences made headlines when he the Chinese for 鈥渂est realiz[ing] the social doctrine of the Church.鈥� Cardinal Parolin has repeatedly promoted Chinese propaganda. At a 2020 press conference, he outright denied China鈥檚 鈥減ersecution鈥� of the Church, there were only 鈥渞egulations that are imposed and which concern all religions.鈥� 

The cardinal also falsely that 鈥淪inicization鈥� refers 鈥渨ithout confusion鈥� to 鈥渋nculturation,鈥� which is the missionary practice of adopting local art and approved cultural practices in Christian devotion. Yet, Sinicization under the CCP requires sermons to be centered on Xi Jinping鈥檚 sayings and children to be 鈥渟hielded鈥� from religious exposure. As of , foreigners and Chinese are not allowed to participate together in religious activities, among other restrictions. 

Joseph Cardinal Zen of Hong Kong accused Cardinal Parolin of 鈥渕anipulating鈥� Pope Francis into approving the deal by falsely claiming that Pope Benedict XVI had approved its draft. In an October 2020 blog post, the Hong Kong cardinal : 鈥淧arolin knows he is lying, he knows that I know he is a liar, he knows that I will tell everyone that he is a liar.鈥� 

Beijing has taken advantage of the agreement, and the Catholic Church is suffering for it. A better policy鈥攐ne that does not share the pope鈥檚 important power of appointing Catholic Church leadership with an atheistic government and that supports the perpetuation of the Church through a faithful underground鈥攊s long overdue.